Monday, October 19, 2020

Bruno Hollnagel, September 18, 2020, European Central Bank – Negative Interest

German Bundestag, September 18, 2020, Plenarprotokoll 19/177, pp. 22262-22263. 

Right honorable Herr President. Right honorable ladies and gentlemen.

So as to anticipate: It is not for me to question the independence of the ECB. It however, first, may not interfere in the rights of others and, second, must guarantee the proportionality of its means of action and thus keep an eye on the extensive effects of its doings.

In regards interference in the rights of others. In that the German Bundesbank, charged by the ECB, collects negative interest and ultimately pays over the earnings to the state, that practically works as a tax. For that reason, Professor Elicker, in his brief of February 2020, spoke in this relation of a “mechanism which in its effects is equivalent to a special tax”. That is the mechanism which is here being implemented. To parliament alone, however, is given the taxation authority. We ought not to hand over this right.

In regards proportionality. Professor Knops in his opinion of October 2019 wrote of the efficacy of negative interest - I cite: The ECB's measures violate the subsidiarity principle (Art. 5, para. 5, EU Treaty) and the fundamental of proportionality (Art. 5, para. 4, EU Treaty).

In evaluating the proportionality of the ECB’s measures, the following points are especially to be considered:

Zero and negative interest, regarded in economic terms, is absolutely absurd. No one with a healthy common sense would give money to anyone knowing that he is guaranteed to get back less.

It would be more sensible to keep the money under the pillow.

Negative interest has two effects on banks: First, it depresses the overall interest level. The danger thereby increases that the interest received by the banks no longer covers the risks. Second, negative interest robs banks of capital so that they are less in a position to take on risk.

That altogether endangers the financial stability of Germany. Ostensible solutions like associations of liability and synthetic bonds only disguise the situation, yet do not solve the problem.

            Lisa Paus (Greens): Complete rubbish! You should read Frau Schnabel for once!

We all know: Low interest leads to mis-allocations of capital [Kapitalfehllenkungen]. It produces bubbles which later burst and produce great economic damage – for example: Spain.

Too low interest misleads to the taking up of more credit than is healthy. In Germany at the end of 2019, there were on hand 330,000 so-called zombie firms; the Creditreform [debt collection agency] presently speaks of 550,000 zombie firms. That is a firm which, without new credit, is no longer in a position to survive. According to the Creditreform, their number, as a consequence of the lockdown effects, can still climb to 700,000 to 800,000. The sword of Damocles is poised over Germany’s financial sector.

Not only are savers negatively affected by low interest but naturally also insurance companies and pension funds and thus practically all citizens. Too low interest removes the interest rate pressure from the market with the result that, first, economic efficiency declines and, second, the purchase of firms is facilitated; that means: Business concentration.

Overall, it is established that negative interest by means of uneconomic resource allocation produces economic weakness.

Ladies and gentlemen, I am of the opinion: The ECB policy interferes immoderately in the rights of the parliament and that its policy is disproportionate. We must do something to oppose that; for example, in which we in common consider whether we do not reimburse the negative interest.

Thank you.

 

[trans: tem]